REF’s picks

We're backing Nurnberg with a +0.25 goal advantage here, as their strong league position contrasts with St. Pauli's tendency to draw matches. Nurnberg sit comfortably near the top of the table despite a demanding cup schedule, whereas St. Pauli have struggled to turn stalemates into victories.

1. 1Nurnberg occupy a lofty spot in the upper reaches of the 2. Bundesliga standings with solid overall form.
2. 2St. Pauli have drawn four of their last five matches, highlighting a difficulty in putting opponents away.
3. 3The visitors are dealing with fatigue and several injury absentees following a rigorous midweek cup tie against Leverkusen.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.