REF’s picks

St. Pauli hold the upper hand here as they return to home turf against a struggling Karlsruher side that has leaked goals on their travels. Backing the hosts on the -0.75 handicap captures their superior recent structure while avoiding overly short outright odds.

1. 1St. Pauli possess a strong historical record in this fixture and sit higher in the table.
2. 2Karlsruher's defensive frailties away from home expose them to sustained pressure.
3. 3St. Pauli have occasionally struggled to turn dominant spells into decisive multi-goal margins.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.