REF’s picks

AS Roma hold the clear upper hand at home and can cover the -1.25 handicap against an AC Milan side that often struggles on the road. The hosts possess the attacking depth to break down resilient defences, though Milan's recent defensive solidity could keep the margin tight.

1. 1AS Roma have shown strong home form in domestic competition recently.
2. 2AC Milan's organised defensive block can frustrate opponents and limit heavy losses.
3. 3The handicap line demands a margin that requires Roma to be clinical in the final third.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.