REF’s picks

Backing under 3.5 goals makes sense in a fixture where historical meetings and defensive trends point to a tighter contest than the odds suggest. Both sides have shown capable defensive organisation recently, which often suppresses total goal counts in these encounters.

1. 1Historical head-to-head matches average a moderate 2.4 goals, keeping most encounters well below the four-goal threshold.
2. 2Torreense has kept several clean sheets or kept scores low in home matches this season, while Maritimo's recent defensive solidity points toward a controlled game.
3. 3An early goal from either side could open up the match and test this selection, as trailing teams might be forced into aggressive tactical changes.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.