REF’s picks

Backing Over 2.25 goals looks like the sharpest angle in a match where Athletico Paranaense's home initiative meets an Atlético Mineiro side capable of striking on the break. The synthetic turf and atmosphere at the Arena da Baixada usually push the tempo, creating enough openings to clear this modest line.

1. 1Athletico Paranaense's strong home form in this fixture suggests they will dictate the pace and create multiple scoring opportunities.
2. 2Atlético Mineiro have enough attacking quality to contribute to the scoreline even when playing away from home.
3. 3Both teams can occasionally suffer from defensive lapses under sustained pressure, opening the door for a high-scoring affair.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.