REF’s picks

Ajax arrive at Het Kasteel as clear favourites despite mounting injury concerns, holding a strong historical edge over Sparta Rotterdam. While the hosts possess a dangerous focal point in Tobias Lauritsen, their leaky defence makes containing the Amsterdam side's fluid attack a massive hurdle. Backing the visitors to secure all three points offers solid value given their superior overall quality.

1. 1Ajax boast an impressive historical dominance in this fixture, remaining unbeaten against Sparta in their recent meetings.
2. 2Sparta's defence has looked vulnerable lately, shipping 15 goals across their last five outings.
3. 3Ajax are dealing with significant squad absences, including key attacking and defensive personnel, which could disrupt their rhythm.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.