REF’s picks

Real Madrid arrive at a hostile Mestalla missing key creative pieces like Bellingham and Rodrygo, yet their sheer attacking depth anchored by Mbappé makes the over on goals a sound play. Valencia fight hard in front of their home supporters and historically manage to nick a goal against a visiting backline missing routine starters, pointing straight toward an open, high-scoring affair.

1. 1Real Madrid boast immense individual firepower with Mbappé leading the line, capable of breaking down low blocks even amid notable midfield absences.
2. 2Valencia have shown resilience at home recently and possess enough counter-attacking threat through Hugo Duro to trouble an experimental visiting defence.
3. 3A fierce rivalry atmosphere and defensive absences on both sides could leave gaps, though a slower-than-expected tactical start might occasionally stall the flow.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.