REF’s picks

FC Arouca have hit a strong run of form and should carve out enough openings at home to score at least twice against a struggling Nacional side. Backing the hosts to net over 1.5 goals aligns well with their attacking momentum and the visitors' defensive struggles on the road.

1. 1Arouca sit comfortably in the upper half of the table and have scored multiple goals in several recent outings.
2. 2Nacional enter this fixture low on confidence away from home, conceding frequently on their travels.
3. 3The visitors can occasionally sit deep and frustrate opponents, meaning Arouca will need to be clinical to break them down.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.