REF’s picks

Backing Crewe Alexandra +0.25 gives us a solid cushion at home, where they have been exceptionally difficult to beat despite a glut of recent draws. Bristol Rovers sit higher in the table but carry shaky away form into this fixture, having lost their last two on the road without scoring.

1. 1Crewe's defensive resilience at home is underlined by just 0.75 goals conceded per game on average.
2. 2Bristol Rovers have struggled away from home recently, failing to find the net in consecutive losses at Gillingham and Grimsby.
3. 3Crewe's heavy reliance on draws means a single-goal defeat would still half-win our stake, but their stubborn nature makes a complete loss unlikely.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.