REF’s picks

Sparta Rotterdam have historically dominated this fixture and, despite a poor start to the season, they face a Willem II side that is arguably the weakest in the league with serious defensive leaks. Backing Sparta on the -1 handicap offers solid value, as they are capable of winning by a margin against a team that has conceded 13 goals in five games.

1. 1Sparta have won their last five competitive meetings against Willem II.
2. 2Willem II are sitting at the bottom of the table, struggling significantly to contain attacks away from home.
3. 3Sparta's own form is fragile, meaning they could potentially settle for a narrow one-goal victory if they lose focus.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.