REF’s picks

São Paulo return to their home turf needing a response after consecutive league defeats, and backing them on a -0.75 handicap offers a solid entry against a Vitória side that struggles on the road. The visitors arrive fresh off a heavy win over Chapecoense, but their defensive fragility away from home leaves them vulnerable against a motivated São Paulo attack.

1. 1São Paulo hold home advantage and desperately need points to climb away from mid-table mediocrity.
2. 2Vitória's defensive vulnerabilities on their travels make them prime targets for a multi-goal defeat.
3. 3An early goal for the visitors or a stubborn low block could frustrate the hosts and keep the margin narrow.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.