REF’s picks

Werder Bremen return to home turf with a strong chance to assert control against a struggling Paderborn side carrying multiple injuries. Backing the hosts at -0.75 makes sense given their superior attacking options despite absentees, though Paderborn's resilience could keep it close early on.

1. 1Werder Bremen possess greater individual quality in the final third and enjoy home advantage at the Weser-Stadion.
2. 2Paderborn arrive with a depleted squad missing key defensive and midfield figures, weakening their resistance.
3. 3Werder have shown defensive lapses of their own recently, which could allow the visitors to stay within touching distance.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.