REF’s picks

Atlético Mineiro bring a comfortable three-goal cushion to Montevideo and possess the tactical discipline to protect it while hitting on the break. Montevideo City Torque must chase the game from the opening whistle, leaving themselves badly exposed defensively against superior Brazilian opposition. Backing the visitors to win outright offers solid value given their strong recent form and the hosts' pressing need to gamble.

1. 1Atlético Mineiro hold a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead from the first leg and can dictate the tempo of the match.
2. 2Montevideo City Torque are forced to take risks early, which plays directly into the counter-attacking strengths of the Brazilian side.
3. 3An early defensive lapse or a disciplined low block from the visitors could easily frustrate the hosts and stall any potential miracle comeback.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.