REF’s picks

Norwich's recent matches have been absolute goal-fests, shipping and scoring in high volume, while Southampton's attack is capable of exploiting that defensive instability. Over 3 goals is the play here, as both sides look fragile enough to allow for a chaotic, open game.

1. 1Norwich's last five matches have seen a staggering number of goals conceded, highlighting a deep defensive crisis.
2. 2Southampton have shown they can score in bunches, and against a leaky Norwich backline, they should contribute significantly to the total.
3. 3Defensive improvements or a tactical shift to 'park the bus' by either manager remains the main risk to this high-scoring outlook.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.