REF’s picks

CA Progreso's recent struggles in front of goal against better defensive units make backing them to stay under 1.5 goals a solid entry. Juventud arrive with a very tight defensive record, having conceded only twice in their last five outings.

1. 1Juventud's backline has been exceptionally disciplined, keeping clean sheets in recent draws against Boston River and Cerro.
2. 2Progreso's historical head-to-head struggles against Juventud point to difficulties breaking down their well-drilled shape.
3. 3Progreso can occasionally pull off a surprise counter-attack, which poses a slight risk to a low-scoring team total bet.

REF's own opinion, not a guarantee — nothing here is financial or betting advice, and the call is always yours.